However, this group are divided on what they think should happen next. Eighty eight percent still have an opinion, and a small, but clear, majority – 54 percent – think that it was a mistake. Ipsos MORI found that few people are agnostic about Brexit. Leavers are less likely to hold qualifications, are older, and more widely spread in towns and rural areas. Those people tend to cluster in cities and large urban areas. In general, remainers are more highly educated, and younger. Electoral success may depend more than in the past on whether economic or social issues are seen as most important.īrexit identities are also linked to age and education. In elections, this can throw up unexpected results. On economic issues the traditional left right divide still holds, but peoples’ positions on social issues (liberal v authoritarian) link much more closely to their Brexit identity. They are important precisely because they cut across the traditional political divide between left and right. The divide stands for two clusters of attitudes to a range of social and political issues, some of which matter more to many voters than membership of the EU. The proportion of people who describe themselves as either very strong remainers or very strong leavers has fallen from 55 percent to 39 percent, but 70 percent still say they still identify strongly as leavers or remainers.īrexit identities were always about more than the European Union. In December (before party polling swung sharply in favour of Labour), they found that “remain”/”leave” identities had weakened, but that they still matter. They go beyond a simple in/out choice, exploring the implications for politics more widely. IPSOS-MORI have been tracking attitudes through a series of polls. In six polls last December the divide averaged 4 points in favour of join. However, the picture is more complicated than a single question can answer. Brexit remains a dividerĭo British people regret the Brexit referendum decision, and do they want to rejoin the EU? Over the last two years, polling has shown a small lead for “join” over “stay out” (4-8 percent). Three recent polls show that those divisions remain, with implications for our domestic politics and our future relationship with Europe. The division between “ Leavers” and “ Remainers” cut across traditional party lines. The EU Referendum in 2016 was a turning point in British politics.
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